Kiss-and-tell matinee idol’s conquests: True stories or tall tales? Jo Koy: My brain always wants to think funny Sports Related Videospowered by AdSparcRead Next Wiggins banks in buzzer-beater, Wolves stun Thunder Carpio hits red carpet treatment for China Coast Guard PLAY LIST 02:14Carpio hits red carpet treatment for China Coast Guard02:56NCRPO pledges to donate P3.5 million to victims of Taal eruption00:56Heavy rain brings some relief in Australia02:37Calm moments allow Taal folks some respite03:23Negosyo sa Tagaytay City, bagsak sa pag-aalboroto ng Bulkang Taal01:13Christian Standhardinger wins PBA Best Player award Don’t miss out on the latest news and information. Margot Robbie talks about filming ‘Bombshell’s’ disturbing sexual harassment scene It’s too early to present Duterte’s ‘legacy’ – Lacson Jake says relationship with Shaina ‘goes beyond physical attraction’ LATEST STORIES MOST READ OSG plea to revoke ABS-CBN franchise ‘a duplicitous move’ – Lacson Christian Standhardinger. Photo from Fiba.comProspective No. 1 pick Christian Standhardinger is conspicuously absent in the 2017 Gatorade PBA Draft Combine on Monday at Gatorade Hoops Center.The Fil-German forward was the lone absentee from the 44 applicants in the pre-draft workout, casting doubts on his status for the annual draft proceedings.ADVERTISEMENT Coco’s house rules on ‘Probinsyano’ set Jake says relationship with Shaina ‘goes beyond physical attraction’ Coco’s house rules on ‘Probinsyano’ set Attending the combine is a requirement for the aspirants to progress to the final list of applicants.Standhardinger is reportedly in Hong Kong training with his ABL team Hong Kong Eastern Sports Club.FEATURED STORIESSPORTSRedemption is sweet for Ginebra, Scottie ThompsonSPORTSMayweather beats Pacquiao, Canelo for ‘Fighter of the Decade’SPORTSFederer blasts lack of communication on Australian Open smogSources from the PBA said they have yet to hear from the 28-year-old, and that he would need to submit a letter explaining his absence from the combine to make it to the final list.In 2014, Manny Pacquiao did not participate in the combine but he submitted a letter and went on to be drafted 11th by Kia. View comments
Plans have commenced to make this year’s Agricultural Month a memorable one.This is according to Agriculture Minister Noel Holder who on Monday met with a number of heads of the agriculture sector agencies and held discussions relating to the upcoming month of activities in October.This event will see the Agriculture Ministry showcasing the grandness of all aspects of the agriculture sector.One event already in the pipelines is National Tree Day.Agriculture Minister Noel HolderNational Tree Day, which was launched in 2015, focuses on greening the economy with the aim of winning the battle against environmental degradation and economic decline through the planting of trees.This event is to be held this year in the newly-established town of Lethem.Some of the events that Guyanese can hope to enjoy in Agriculture Month are the World Food Day Fair, inter-faith services, school awareness competitions, the National Agricultural Research and Extension Institute (NAREI) open day, and Agriculture Ministry Healthy Cook-Off.The main aim of the Month is to sensitise citizens on the importance of the agriculture sector to an economy as a whole, considering the needs of all citizens.The activities are also held to attract tourists from all walks of life and are conducted in all regions of Guyana.This event held every year has been a major success in terms of promoting Guyana as a tourism destination.
A resident of Baramita, North West District (NWD), Region One (Barima-Waini) was fatally stabbed by a friend with whom he was imbibing at a popular drinking spot on Wednesday. Dead is Abraham Wilson, 30, of Cassique Creek, Baramita, NWD.Based on reports gathered, the two men were consuming alcohol when an argument broke out and quickly turned into a scuffle. It was during the altercation that the suspect whipped out a knife and stabbed Wilson several times to the body. The man reportedly collapsed and died almost immediately.The suspect on the other hand, escaped from the scene. Divisional and Branch Commander of F Division (Interior Locations), Senior Superintendent Ravindradat Budhram, confirmed that the stabbing incident occurred on Wednesday, October 12, 2016, but the body was brought out of the interior the following day.He however noted that the suspect is a well-known individual in the area and was being sought by the Toshao of the village and members of the Guyana Police Force who had travelled into the area to investigate the stabbing incident.Earlier in the month, a miner was stabbed to death during an argument at Sand Hills, Puruni Area, Region Seven (Cuyuni-Mazaruni).It was reported that the deceased and another man were consuming alcohol when an argument ensued. The argument quickly escalated into an altercation during which the suspect, armed with a sharp object, dealt the man several blows to the body. The injured man collapsed and died immediately. The suspect is still on the run.
0Shares0000Real Madrid retained the Club World Cup in Abu Dhabi in December© AFP/File KARIM SAHIBLISBON, PORTUGAL, Apr 18 – FIFA has laid out plans to replace the Confederations Cup with an expanded Club World Cup that would only be held every four years from 2021, a source told AFP on Wednesday.According to a letter Gianni Infantino, the president of world football’s governing body, sent to the heads of the continental confederations, and that has been seen by AFP, the Confederations Cup would cease while the club tournament would no longer be played annually in December. It would now be held every fourth June in the year before a World Cup — just as the Confederations Cup was.Last year’s Confederations Cup in Russia — won by Germany — would therefore be the last.The competition would last 18 days. The new format means the club competition would interfere less with the rest of the football calendar, particularly in Europe.FIFA also faces the problem that while its principal tournament, the World Cup, is immensely lucrative and popular, neither the Confederations Cup nor the Club World Cup have been remotely as attractive to fans or sponsors.Clubs from the six confederations take part in the Club World Cup, but the gulf in quality can be embarrassingly large and only sides from Europe or South America have ever won it.Although Brazilian sides claimed the first three editions, only one of the last 11 has not been won by a European team — inaugural winners in 2000, Corinthians triumphed for the second time in 2012.In the United Arab Emirates in December, Real Madrid became the first club to retain the trophy when they beat Brazilians Gremio 1-0 with a goal by Cristiano Ronaldo.The changes dovetail with FIFA’s desire to build on plans already unveiled by UEFA, the European federation, and CONCACAF, which runs football in North and Central America and the Caribbean, for a Nations League to replace friendlies in the international calendar.The inaugural UEFA Nations League will begin in September of this year, with the top four teams going through to the finals in June 2019.The international governing body wants all the continents to set up similar competitions, using divisional formats, to be played in September, October and December of even-numbered years and culminating in an eight-team international tournament the following year.In order to finance its Nations League and the revamped Club World Cup, FIFA would look to team up with a consortium of private investors ready to invest some 25 billion dollars in the rights for the period from 2021 to 2033.0Shares0000(Visited 1 times, 1 visits today)
The Orange Line averaged 16,360 passengers each weekday during its first month, nearly triple the original ridership forecast and on track toward long-term goals, MTA officials said Tuesday. Ridership in November topped the 10,000 to 11,000 weekday boardings reported during the opening week and soared above initial forecasts made for the San Fernando Valley busway of 5,000 to 7,000 passengers. In fact, the number of passenger boardings was closer to the 21,000 figure that officials had hoped for by 2020. “Demand is very strong – a very successful first month,” said Metropolitan Transportation Authority spokesman Dave Sotero. The line’s boosters were thrilled. AD Quality Auto 360p 720p 1080p Top articles1/5READ MOREBlues bury Kings early with four first-period goals “MTA customers who work in the Valley and live in the Valley have voted with their feet and issued an unequivocal vote of confidence in the Orange Line,” said Supervisor Zev Yaroslavsky, an MTA board member and a moving force behind building the busway after efforts to get a subway or light rail for the Valley failed. “It’s a huge victory. People said, ‘It’s a bus; nobody will ride a bus.’ Well they were wrong.” Longtime transit advocate Bart Reed said the showing was impressive. “Wow! Those numbers are actually consistent with the first-month numbers of the Gold Line,” he said, referring to the light-rail route from downtown to Pasadena. Reed, executive director of The Transit Coalition, said three-month and six-month figures will be especially significant. In estimating ridership, transit agencies traditionally count boardings – essentially, one-way trips. MTA officials said the lower numbers reported for opening week were based on ticket sales, while the updated numbers were based on head counts taken aboard the 60-foot-long buses. Weekend averages were 11,220 for Saturdays and 8,126 for Sundays. But MTA officials could not say whether riders were coming from cars, other bus routes or even Metrolink trains, and they noted that parking lots remain about 20 percent below capacity. The 14-mile-long Orange Line had great success in its first days, but a handful of mostly minor crashes – caused by motorists running red lights or making illegal turns at the newly designed intersections – raised questions about its safety. James E. Moore, a University of Southern California professor who previously called the MTA’s projections of 5,000 initial riders a “low-ball” estimate, said there is no way to fully analyze the line without having more detailed data about riders. Still, he said, anecdotal ridership evidence is encouraging. “I’m not the least bit shocked they beat their initial forecast,” said Moore, who has predicted that the line will hit its long-term goal of 21,000-plus rides in the first year. “The fact that there are folks on the Orange Line who otherwise would be on the 101 (Freeway) is interesting and encouraging.” Los Angeles Police Department officials rode the busway Tuesday and witnessed a close call between the bus and a car at the Lindley Avenue intersection. “People need to pay attention,” said LAPD Deputy Chief Michel Moore, whose officers have ticketed nearly 100 motorists since the busway debuted. “They need to slow down and recognize these are brand new traffic patterns.” Riders continue to take the line that has given suburban Valley freeway drivers a new alternative and regular bus riders a faster route that can cut their travel time in half. “It’s more peaceful for me,” said Lourdes Fallis, a Reseda mom who has been parking her car at the Reseda station to take the busway to her job at a law office downtown. “When I got home before, I was so tired from the traffic. Now I can just read or relax (on the bus).” Regular bus rider Felicitias Jauregui of Van Nuys said the Orange Line has trimmed 30 minutes from what had been a 90-minute commute to school downtown. She said “there’s a lot more room for people” on the bigger buses, and one comes about every five minutes, so she doesn’t have to hurry in the morning to catch a regular bus that comes less often. “I’m not in a rush like I was before,” she said. Lisa Mascaro, (818) 713-3761 firstname.lastname@example.org 160Want local news?Sign up for the Localist and stay informed Something went wrong. Please try again.subscribeCongratulations! You’re all set!
Hungarian Dental Clinic Letterkenny have been providing beautiful and healthy smiles to the people of Donegal since 2011.Experts at the clinic have been providing high quality dental treatments at affordable prices for clients from all over Donegal and the North West – and they’re not planning to down tools anytime soon.This week a spokesperson revealed to Donegal Daily why clinic has quickly become the first choice of people seeking brighter smiles and treatment with world-class technology: “We specialise in preventative dentistry, white fillings, crowns, bridges, dentures, veneers, emergency appointments and services, teeth cleaning, teeth whitening, and implantation.“Our dentist and implant specialist both have excellent qualifications and many years of practice. With our x-ray machines we are able to get better and more accurate diagnostics. We are also one of the few clinics to provide air flow polish teeth cleaning; a new technology to give you a brighter smile.“We have our own laboratory that makes our crowns and bridges. Our technicians are highly qualified and have received training in CAD/CAM technology. With this technology, we can make the strongest and most beautiful ceramic or zirconia crowns and bridges.” To celebrate the success of Hungarian Dental’s whitening treatments, they are giving away a Home Whitening Kit! To be in with a chance of winning, click here to visit Hungarian Dental Clinic on Facebook.Our clinic is open five days a week from Tuesday to Saturday. We are open at the following times:Monday from 9 to 4 – (Reception only)Tuesday from 10 to 5Wednesday from 10 to 7Thursday from 10 to 5Friday from 10 to 7Saturday from 10 to 7You can give us a call on 074 91 61905 / 085 114 5317, contact us via email: email@example.com, or drop into our clinic located at 11 Upper Main Street in Letterkenny, Donegal.Visit www.letterkennydental.ieSponsored Post What’s the secret to smiles from Hungarian Dental Clinic? was last modified: October 16th, 2017 by Staff WriterShare this:Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window)Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window)Click to share on LinkedIn (Opens in new window)Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window)Click to share on Pocket (Opens in new window)Click to share on Telegram (Opens in new window)Click to share on WhatsApp (Opens in new window)Click to share on Skype (Opens in new window)Click to print (Opens in new window) Tags:dentisthungarian dental clinicteeth
QPR manager Harry Redknapp shrugged off the frosty reception he was given from some of the home fans on his return to Upton Park.The former West Ham player and manager was barracked during a 1-1 draw that extended bottom-of-the-table Rangers’ unbeaten run to five matches.Redknapp said: “I don’t give a monkey’s. Am I going home worrying about what people think of me here? I couldn’t give two monkeys’. It’s the least of my problems at the moment.”The Hammers secured a deserved point with Joe Cole’s second-half equaliser after Loic Remy had scored on his debut to put Rangers ahead.Redknapp admitted: “It was difficult for us and I couldn’t sit here and say we deserved to win. A point here is a good result.”More reaction to follow later.See also:Frustrated Allardyce bemoans West Ham’s ‘Achilles heel’Redknapp ’embarrassed’ by West Ham linkRedknapp laughs off West Ham rumoursRemy scores but Cole denies 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 Follow West London Sport on TwitterFind us on Facebook
(Visited 95 times, 1 visits today)FacebookTwitterPinterestSave分享0 Scientism sounds appealing in theory. In practice, human scientists fall short of its ideals of enlightenment, progress and understanding.The new Ioannidis study. John P. A. Ioannidis has made waves with his studies of scientific bias (see 1/11/17). In the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences March 20, his team published results after they “probed for multiple bias-related patterns in a large random sample of meta-analyses taken from all disciplines,” in order to address the widely-reported ‘reproducibility crisis’ in science. Their findings are partly encouraging, but point out factors that contribute to lack of trust:The magnitude of these biases varied widely across fields and was on average relatively small. However, we consistently observed that small, early, highly cited studies published in peer-reviewed journals were likely to overestimate effects. We found little evidence that these biases were related to scientific productivity, and we found no difference between biases in male and female researchers. However, a scientist’s early-career status, isolation, and lack of scientific integrity might be significant risk factors for producing unreliable results. The team found “Systematic differences in the risk of bias between physical, biological, and social sciences,” with the latter being worse. But it’s not clear this “bird’s-eye view” found all the bias that exists; “future research will need to determine whether and to what extent these trends might reflect changes in meta-analytical methods, rather than an actual worsening of research practices.”Reproducibility crisis redux. In plain English, three analysts discuss “The science ‘reproducibility crisis’ – and what can be done about it” at The Conversation. Danny Kingsley thinks that the move toward ‘open research’ will help reduce some of the personality factors that rush scientists to publish, such as the desire to have priority. Jim Grange, a psychologist, says “To me, it is clear that there is a reproducibility crisis in psychological science, and across all sciences.” He thinks his field is getting better at removing bias, but is not ‘out of the woods’ yet. Ottoline Leyser thinks that publication practices should take a lot of the blame for the “current destructive culture” that rushes bad science to print.Cancer care. “Remember why we work on cancer,” Levi Garraway pleades in Nature. He knows from experience how the motivation to publish “high-impact papers” can go awry if a researcher does not consider whether the results are reproducible. Often, when they are not, other factors come to light, to the embarrassment of the researcher, the publisher, and the reputation of science. He wouldn’t be writing about the need to follow the 3 R’s, “Rigor, Reproducibility and Robustness,” if there weren’t a problem.Opening the Gates. Speaking of open research, the Gates Foundation, the global health charity founded by Bill and Melissa Gates (Microsoft), has announced its own open-access publishing venture. Unable to get their thousands of research papers published in conventional channels because of the Gates Foundation’s stringent open-access policy, they are going to publish their own. They’ll be going about peer review in a different way: “Papers are peer-reviewed after publication, and the reviews and the names of their authors are published alongside.” Nature doesn’t seem to have a problem with this, showing that scientific practices are not set in stone. Indeed, fossilized tradition is blameworthy. “We believe that published research resulting from our funding should be promptly and broadly disseminated,” says Callahan. “Our research saves lives.” That says something disturbing about conventional practices up till now.Open science revolution. When institutions are pushing for ‘open science’, is that not presupposing that science has been closed for decades? In Nature‘s comment article, “Five ways consortia can catalyse open science,” 19 academicians make the case for disinfecting scientific practice with the transparency of sunshine. To do this, they will have to break open encrusted habits about ownership, and get into sharing mode. But it won’t be easy. Believers in scientism need to read this: “As philosopher of science Thomas Kuhn documented more than 50 years ago, the scientific community resists challenges to its orthodoxy.” And you thought only religious institutions used that word. It’s time to expand the role of stakeholders in science, they say, and – imagine this – get the public involved. “Conduct outreach so stakeholders explicitly voice goals and identities,” they advise.Political cluelessness. Polls supposedly use ‘scientific’ methods to assess the state of the country, but the 2016 election proved they were way off. Why? One statistician, according to Phys.org, faults “conventional wisdom, not data,’ for the mistake. The experts in Big Media were simply out of touch with the mood of the country they were measuring. “If you look at public opinion, people weren’t actually all that confident in Clinton’s chances,” Nate Silver said in an interview. “It was the media who were very confident in Clinton’s chances.” Even his polling site, FiveThirtyEight.com, “gave Donald Trump a less than 1 in 3 chance of winning.” News sites don’t understand the relationship between polls and probability, he said, and so they relaxed into non-rigorous, ad hoc reasoning to reinforce their own biases that Clinton would be a shoe-in for election. The data weren’t dead; the fault was in conventional wisdom that was not so wise.The second part is that there is a certain amount of groupthink. People looking at the polls are mostly in newsrooms in Washington and Boston and New York. These are liberal cities, and so people tend to see evidence (in our view, it was kind of conflicting polling data) as pointing toward a certain thing. People have trouble taking different information about, for example, signs of decline in African-American turnout and reconciling that against supposedly good numbers among Hispanic turnout for Clinton. People weren’t using the more thoughtful sides of their brains; they were using the more emotional sides of their brains.Leftist science. Speaking of liberal locations, academic institutions are known to be hothouses for liberal bias. Gavin Bailey and Chris O’Leary admit it, but then say it’s not necessarily a bad thing. Their headline in The Conversation states, “Yes, academics tend to be left wing – but let’s not exaggerate it.” Nobody is concerned that bankers tend to be right-wing, they argue, but that’s different. Bankers aren’t teaching science. They are not deciding what science is. Aren’t Bailey and O’Leary concerned that the ‘conventional wisdom’ in academia can lead to the same non-rigorous, ad hoc reasoning that shamed the pundits on the election results? Apparently not. They deny that academics tend to fall on deep political divides; “it is unlikely that most academics are extremists, and many won’t be all that politically minded; much like the rest of society,” they conclude. They’re basically rationalizing a very lopsided situation within the ivied walls. Maybe they need to get out of the echo chamber and meet some real folks. The worst bias is not recognizing one’s own bias.Fake news hall of mirrors. A week prior to April Fool’s Day, National Geographic posted some examples of how gullible people can have their brains tricked by fake news. First example: “How many animals of each kind did Moses put on the ark?” Obviously it was Noah, not Moses. People often accept the first answer that comes to mind, Alexandra Petri writes. But does this kind of gullibility affect scientists? Why would Petri jump to a conclusion about what presidential advisor Kellyanne Conway meant in a widely-misinterpreted quote?We live in a world with many “alternative facts,” which means verifying and fact-checking ourselves and those in our community plays an important role in determining what is real and what is fake.Petri relies on the reputations of psychologists and sociologists, whom Ioannidis reported are often the most guilty of scientific bias. She even exonerates them for running a study in which they lied to participants (see 3/15/17). Nowhere in this article does National Geographic look in the mirror and say, “Are we perhaps purveyors of fake news ourselves?”Offended humans in the Petri dish. Evolutionary anthropologists sometimes think they can just move into a tribal community and treat the people like lab rats, writing up their behaviors as evolutionary adaptations. But all people have human rights and deserve respect. Can the tribespeople reverse roles? Nature says that a certain tribe in South Africa, the Sans people who have developed a ‘click language,’ decided they’ve had enough of researchers coming in and running roughshod over their feelings and traditions: taking their genomes, calling them ‘Bushmen’ (an offensive name in their culture), and the like. They are the first tribe to draw up a code of ethics for researchers. One can imagine some researchers being shocked at finding out they have been offenders, despite their beliefs about ‘social justice.’ If they really believed in social justice, they would allow the Sans people to conduct research on scientists, wouldn’t they? One can imagine a possible research paper: “A study on manifestations of the Yoda Complex among western sociologists.”Lies, damned lies, and statistics. Winnifred Lewis and Cassandra Chapman inform the rest of us how to avoid the “seven deadly sins of statistical misinterpretation” in The Conversation. It’s a good piece with good advice. But nowhere do they indicate that scientists commit these sins, too. Confusing correlation with causation, putting a thumb on the outlier, exaggerating small differences, neglecting outside factors — these are not unknown problems in published science papers. Just look at the typical paper on phylogeny (example: 130 years of error).Sorry science. We end with some quotes from Nature‘s review of Richard Harris’s new book, Rigor Mortis: How Sloppy Science Creates Worthless Cures, Crushes Hope, and Wastes Billions. Just the title should jolt those who love science and trust its credibility. Reviewer Marcus Munafò begins,As scientists, we are supposed to be objective and disinterested, careful sifters of evidence. The reality is messier. Our training can give us only so much protection from natural tendencies to see patterns in randomness, respond unconsciously to incentives, and argue forcefully in defence of our own positions, even in the face of mounting contrary evidence. In the competitive crucible of modern science, various perverse incentives conspire to undermine the scientific method, leading to a literature littered with unreliable findings.This is the conclusion of Rigor Mortis, a wide-ranging critique of the modern biomedical research ecosystem by science journalist Richard Harris. He describes how a growing number of claims over the past decade that many published research findings are false, or at least not as robust as they should be, has led to calls for change, and the birth of a new discipline of metascience.Metascience is “the scientific study of science itself,” or just philosophy of science. Though Harris focuses on biomedical research, the problems he reports should concern all science. Even if there is a ‘scientific method’, which some philosophers of science doubt, it does no good unless it is followed honestly. So unless and until scientists clean up their act, why should the public listen to the proponents of scientism who exalt science as the most reliable path to enlightenment? Scientists are only human, and humans are biased. Overcoming bias is not a matter of science. It’s a matter of character.Character requires a moral foundation. A moral foundation must be solid; it cannot evolve. Scientists: you need a solid moral foundation. You need an eternal, unchanging, righteous, just, holy God. There’s only one of those.
IT + Project Management: A Love Affair Such actions basically force customers to start looking elsewhere, if they weren’t already.If this were just a matter of technology, Oracle, Microsoft et al. would likely weather the storm quite well. Oracle makes great software. There’s a reason it’s the enterprise database leader, and by a wide margin (though smaller rivals are gaining in popularity).But building great technology is not enough. Oracle’s peers, from SAP to IBM to Microsoft, also charge for software in this way, and across the industry they’ve been taking a beating as enterprises look to the improved productivity and OpEx of open source and SaaS. Oracle, for its part, blamed its miss on “sales execution,” but as Cowen & Co. analyst Peter Goldmacher points out,…[W]e have a hard time believing that almost all the legacy software names are suffering from poor sales execution at the same time. We believe the primary issue is a fundamental shift in the technology landscape away from legacy systems towards a new breed of better products at a lower cost both in Apps and in Data Management. Virtually every emerging software trend is having a deflationary impact on spend.Not everyone sees it this way. Wells Fargo senior analyst Jason Maynard urges investors in Oracle to “keep calm and carry on,” and expects Oracle’s license revenue to grow 5% year over year. Good luck with that. Developers Rise In ImportanceThe problem isn’t that Oracle and the mega-vendors have lost their hold on CIO affections. They haven’t. The problem is that they have little to offer enterprise developers, who increasingly are the gateway to software adoption. Explaining this shift in his excellent The New Kingmakers, Redmonk analyst Stephen O’Grady argues:With the rise of open source…developers could for the first time assemble an infrastructure from the same pieces that industry titans like Google used to build their businesses — only at no cost, without seeking permission from anyone. For the first time, developers could route around traditional procurement with ease. With usage thus effectively decoupled from commercial licensing, patterns of technology adoption began to shift….Open source is increasingly the default mode of software development….In new market categories, open source is the rule, proprietary software the exception.The top-down approach, in other words, is losing its currency within the enterprise, as both open source and cloud enable developers (not to mention line of business executives) to get work done without getting permission.The effect on the mega-vendors is overwhelmingly negative, as Oppenheimer analyst Brian Schwartz posits:We believe something more secular is occurring as cloud computing increasingly entices CIOs to refresh their legacy IT systems with cloud services rather than infrastructure. Additionally, software purchasing is becoming more decentralized with decision-making power shifting away from IT and weakening the selling advantage as a “one-shop supplier.” These trends dampen big-ticket on-premise software purchasing and remain a headwind for the infrastructure vendors.None of which means the big vendors are going out of business anytime soon. In my years at Novell, for example, I witnessed a serious decline in the company’s fortunes, even as revenue remained above $1 billion.Time To Change?In fact, Novell is a great example of what might happen to the mega-vendors. Ultimately, Novell had to be bought out and then split into pieces in order for its SUSE business unit, now an independent company, to thrive. SUSE can now support its subscription model without all the overhead Novell’s legacy business imposed on it.The same may well prove true for the other enterprise mega-vendors.Not all enterprises will be affected equally, of course. Years ago IBM reshaped its business to be more services driven, which allows it to embrace new trends like open source enthusiastically. And even Oracle has built out a considerable cloud business (despite starting years later than it arguably should have), to which it can move current customers. Microsoft has been doing the same, transitioning customers to Office 365 rather than lose out on customers moving to Google Docs.But the revenue profile for these businesses differs significantly from the traditional license/maintenance business, and it’s an open question whether any of these companies will be able to turn the corner in their current form.The Wall Street Journal echoed this sentiment, suggesting that Oracle’s “business is being eroded at the edges by smaller, more focused companies offering newer technology,” and, I would add, by the very different business models these firms employ. It’s a great time to be in enterprise technology…so long as you’re not selling a legacy business model. Image courtesy of Shutterstock. 3 Areas of Your Business that Need Tech Now Matt Asay Tags:#cloud#developers#enterprise#enterprise IT#Open Source#Oracle#Redmonk#saas#Stephen O’Grady For decades the enterprise software industry has grown fat on outsized, upfront license fees coupled with ongoing, high-margin maintenance streams. Cracks in the model have threatened to dismantle the system for years, as reported by The Wall Street Journal back in 2009, with CIOs chafing at paying for low-value, high-cost maintenance.But if Oracle’s big earnings miss last week is any indication, one of three disappointing quarters over the past two years, the cracks have widened to a chasm. As bellwether for the enterprise software incumbents, Oracle’s miss suggests that the legacy vendors may struggle to adapt to the world of open-source software and Software as a Service (SaaS) and, in particular, the subscription revenue models that drive both.It isn’t going to be pretty.Changing How Vendors Get PaidThis isn’t just a matter of improving legacy software products. It’s a matter of fundamentally changing how these legacy vendors deploy and charge for software. For example, Oracle’s entire cost structure is built around the premise of a hefty upfront license and high-margin maintenance (Over 20% of the license fee). Ever read The Innovator’s Dilemma? Clayton Christensen’s classic addresses just this sort of inability for established companies to change. It turns out to be brutally hard, and often impossible.Small wonder, then, that SAP has been raising its maintenance fees, trying to milk more money from its customer base as it faces serious headwinds maintaining its license model against upstart competitors like Workday: Cognitive Automation is the Immediate Future of… Massive Non-Desk Workforce is an Opportunity fo… Related Posts
In the 1970s, a relatively small, long-nosed dinosaur was discovered in Mongolia. Some paleontologists claimed it was an unusual member of the tyrannosaurid family—which includes the mighty Tyrannosaurus rex—but many researchers were skeptical. Then, in 2009, paleontologists published details of a very similar specimen also found in Mongolia. Yet other researchers pointed out that both specimens were juveniles, and the long noses might just be a growth phase they were going through on their way to becoming typical tyrannosaurids, with tall, deep skulls and crushing jaws and teeth. But a new discovery of a much more complete adult specimen, published online today in Nature Communications and pictured here in an artist’s reconstruction, may quiet the skeptics. Qianzhousaurus sinensis (named after Qianzhou, the ancient name of the city of Ganzhou where it was discovered, and sin, from the Greek word for China), is an adult and lived until about 66 million years ago, just before most dinosaurs went extinct; but it still has the long nose and other features of the two other specimens. Moreover, because the new dino, which at an estimated 757 kilograms weighed about one-tenth as much as T. rex, was found 3000 kilometers away in China’s Jiangxi province, the team concludes that long-nosed tyrannosaurids were not just a fluke, but rather a major group of dinos with a wide geographical distribution.See more ScienceShots.Sign up for our daily newsletterGet more great content like this delivered right to you!Country *AfghanistanAland IslandsAlbaniaAlgeriaAndorraAngolaAnguillaAntarcticaAntigua and BarbudaArgentinaArmeniaArubaAustraliaAustriaAzerbaijanBahamasBahrainBangladeshBarbadosBelarusBelgiumBelizeBeninBermudaBhutanBolivia, Plurinational State ofBonaire, Sint Eustatius and SabaBosnia and HerzegovinaBotswanaBouvet IslandBrazilBritish Indian Ocean TerritoryBrunei DarussalamBulgariaBurkina FasoBurundiCambodiaCameroonCanadaCape VerdeCayman IslandsCentral African RepublicChadChileChinaChristmas IslandCocos (Keeling) IslandsColombiaComorosCongoCongo, The Democratic Republic of theCook IslandsCosta RicaCote D’IvoireCroatiaCubaCuraçaoCyprusCzech RepublicDenmarkDjiboutiDominicaDominican RepublicEcuadorEgyptEl SalvadorEquatorial GuineaEritreaEstoniaEthiopiaFalkland Islands (Malvinas)Faroe IslandsFijiFinlandFranceFrench GuianaFrench PolynesiaFrench Southern TerritoriesGabonGambiaGeorgiaGermanyGhanaGibraltarGreeceGreenlandGrenadaGuadeloupeGuatemalaGuernseyGuineaGuinea-BissauGuyanaHaitiHeard Island and Mcdonald IslandsHoly See (Vatican City State)HondurasHong KongHungaryIcelandIndiaIndonesiaIran, Islamic Republic ofIraqIrelandIsle of ManIsraelItalyJamaicaJapanJerseyJordanKazakhstanKenyaKiribatiKorea, Democratic People’s Republic ofKorea, Republic ofKuwaitKyrgyzstanLao People’s Democratic RepublicLatviaLebanonLesothoLiberiaLibyan Arab JamahiriyaLiechtensteinLithuaniaLuxembourgMacaoMacedonia, The Former Yugoslav Republic ofMadagascarMalawiMalaysiaMaldivesMaliMaltaMartiniqueMauritaniaMauritiusMayotteMexicoMoldova, Republic ofMonacoMongoliaMontenegroMontserratMoroccoMozambiqueMyanmarNamibiaNauruNepalNetherlandsNew CaledoniaNew ZealandNicaraguaNigerNigeriaNiueNorfolk IslandNorwayOmanPakistanPalestinianPanamaPapua New GuineaParaguayPeruPhilippinesPitcairnPolandPortugalQatarReunionRomaniaRussian FederationRWANDASaint Barthélemy Saint Helena, Ascension and Tristan da CunhaSaint Kitts and NevisSaint LuciaSaint Martin (French part)Saint Pierre and MiquelonSaint Vincent and the GrenadinesSamoaSan MarinoSao Tome and PrincipeSaudi ArabiaSenegalSerbiaSeychellesSierra LeoneSingaporeSint Maarten (Dutch part)SlovakiaSloveniaSolomon IslandsSomaliaSouth AfricaSouth Georgia and the South Sandwich IslandsSouth SudanSpainSri LankaSudanSurinameSvalbard and Jan MayenSwazilandSwedenSwitzerlandSyrian Arab RepublicTaiwanTajikistanTanzania, United Republic ofThailandTimor-LesteTogoTokelauTongaTrinidad and TobagoTunisiaTurkeyTurkmenistanTurks and Caicos IslandsTuvaluUgandaUkraineUnited Arab EmiratesUnited KingdomUnited StatesUruguayUzbekistanVanuatuVenezuela, Bolivarian Republic ofVietnamVirgin Islands, BritishWallis and FutunaWestern SaharaYemenZambiaZimbabweI also wish to receive emails from AAAS/Science and Science advertisers, including information on products, services and special offers which may include but are not limited to news, careers information & upcoming events.Required fields are included by an asterisk(*)